Our financial assumptions are based on a steady economy and standard numbers for a business in our industry.
General Assumptions
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Plan Month
1
2
3
Current Interest Rate
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
Long-term Interest Rate
13.00%
13.00%
13.00%
Tax Rate
25.42%
25.00%
25.42%
Other
0
0
0
7.2 Key Financial Indicators
The following chart indicates our key financial indicators over the next three years.
7.3 Break-even Analysis
The following table and chart summarize our break-even analysis. With two developers and two salesmen we plan on developing eight sites in November and once the two new hires are fully trained doubling the number to 16 sites a month. (We don't plan on that happening until March 2001).
The average variable cost is an aggregate measure for all the types of services which will be offered.
Break-even Analysis
Monthly Revenue Break-even
$4,649
Assumptions:
Average Percent Variable Cost
9%
Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost
$4,210
7.4 Projected Profit and Loss
Our projected profit and loss is shown on the following table. Some highlights are the Gross Margin at 67% for our first year and steadily increasing. Our Net Profit/Sales starting at 26% and increasing by approximately 10% the following two years to reach 45% by our third year.
Pro Forma Profit and Loss
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Sales
$164,520
$514,900
$1,194,500
Direct Cost of Sales
$15,550
$50,000
$127,600
Production Payroll
$38,492
$90,000
$137,000
Other
$0
$0
$0
Total Cost of Sales
$54,042
$140,000
$264,600
Gross Margin
$110,478
$374,900
$929,900
Gross Margin %
67.15%
72.81%
77.85%
Operating Expenses
Sales and Marketing Expenses
Sales and Marketing Payroll
$30,000
$69,000
$108,000
Advertising/Promotion
$2,790
$3,500
$10,000
Travel
$1,020
$3,000
$7,000
Miscellaneous
$0
$1,000
$2,500
Total Sales and Marketing Expenses
$33,810
$76,500
$127,500
Sales and Marketing %
20.55%
14.86%
10.67%
General and Administrative Expenses
General and Administrative Payroll
$0
$0
$0
Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses
$0
$0
$0
Depreciation
$3,180
$5,000
$12,000
Rent
$4,500
$12,000
$24,000
Depreciation
$0
$2,000
$4,000
Leased Equipment
$0
$0
$0
Utilities
$805
$2,000
$5,000
Insurance
$0
$2,500
$5,000
Payroll Taxes
$8,219
$19,080
$29,400
Other General and Administrative Expenses
$0
$0
$0
Total General and Administrative Expenses
$16,704
$42,580
$79,400
General and Administrative %
10.15%
8.27%
6.65%
Other Expenses:
Other Payroll
$0
$0
$0
Consultants
$0
$0
$0
Contract/Consultants
$0
$0
$0
Total Other Expenses
$0
$0
$0
Other %
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Total Operating Expenses
$50,514
$119,080
$206,900
Profit Before Interest and Taxes
$59,964
$255,820
$723,000
EBITDA
$63,144
$260,820
$735,000
Interest Expense
$2,600
$2,302
$1,664
Taxes Incurred
$14,330
$63,380
$183,340
Net Profit
$43,034
$190,139
$537,996
Net Profit/Sales
26.16%
36.93%
45.04%
7.5 Projected Cash Flow
Cash flow projections for the first half of the year are slightly declining and in May they begin to raise sufficiently. We may need to borrow against our accounts receivables but are projecting that the initial capital raised should cover us until our cash becomes fluid.
Pro Forma Cash Flow
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Cash Received
Cash from Operations
Cash Sales
$54,292
$169,917
$394,185
Cash from Receivables
$70,969
$261,372
$638,141
Subtotal Cash from Operations
$125,260
$431,289
$1,032,326
Additional Cash Received
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received
$0
$0
$0
New Current Borrowing
$0
$0
$0
New Other Liabilities (interest-free)
$0
$0
$0
New Long-term Liabilities
$0
$0
$0
Sales of Other Current Assets
$0
$0
$0
Sales of Long-term Assets
$0
$0
$0
New Investment Received
$10,700
$0
$0
Subtotal Cash Received
$135,960
$431,289
$1,032,326
Expenditures
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Expenditures from Operations
Cash Spending
$68,492
$159,000
$245,000
Bill Payments
$40,764
$156,598
$379,881
Subtotal Spent on Operations
$109,256
$315,598
$624,881
Additional Cash Spent
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out
$0
$0
$0
Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing
$0
$0
$0
Other Liabilities Principal Repayment
$0
$0
$0
Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment
$0
$4,589
$5,222
Purchase Other Current Assets
$0
$0
$0
Purchase Long-term Assets
$0
$20,000
$20,000
Dividends
$0
$0
$0
Subtotal Cash Spent
$109,256
$340,187
$650,103
Net Cash Flow
$26,704
$91,102
$382,224
Cash Balance
$43,704
$134,806
$517,029
7.6 Projected Balance Sheet
The balance sheet in the following table shows managed but sufficient growth of net worth, and a sufficiently healthy financial position. The monthly estimates are included in the appendix.
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Assets
Current Assets
Cash
$43,704
$134,806
$517,029
Accounts Receivable
$39,260
$122,871
$285,045
Other Current Assets
$7,650
$7,650
$7,650
Total Current Assets
$90,614
$265,327
$809,724
Long-term Assets
Long-term Assets
$0
$20,000
$40,000
Accumulated Depreciation
$3,180
$8,180
$20,180
Total Long-term Assets
($3,180)
$11,820
$19,820
Total Assets
$87,434
$277,147
$829,544
Liabilities and Capital
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable
$9,050
$13,213
$32,836
Current Borrowing
$0
$0
$0
Other Current Liabilities
$0
$0
$0
Subtotal Current Liabilities
$9,050
$13,213
$32,836
Long-term Liabilities
$20,000
$15,411
$10,189
Total Liabilities
$29,050
$28,624
$43,025
Paid-in Capital
$18,000
$18,000
$18,000
Retained Earnings
($2,650)
$40,384
$230,523
Earnings
$43,034
$190,139
$537,996
Total Capital
$58,384
$248,523
$786,519
Total Liabilities and Capital
$87,434
$277,147
$829,544
Net Worth
$58,384
$248,523
$786,519
7.7 Business Ratios
The following table shows the projected businesses ratios. We expect to maintain healthy ratios for profitability, risk, and return. The Industry Profile ratios, shown for comparison, are based on Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code 7375, Information Retrieval Services.
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