The following table shows the projected revenue of RTI over the period of 2001-2005. The most important elements in the financial plan can be listed as follows:
The company must keep a high gross margin.
In order to take advantage of the market demand growth to increase the yearly sales as well as the profit margin, the company must increase the frequency of business visits to the prospective clients' sites by 10%. This will result in steady increases in net profits from sales in 2001 through 2005.
7.1 Important Assumptions
The accompanying table lists the main assumptions of RTI for developing its financial projections. The most sensitive assumption is collection days. RTI would like to improve collection days to take pressure off of its working capital.
General Assumptions
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Plan Month
1
2
3
4
5
Current Interest Rate
8.50%
8.50%
8.50%
8.50%
8.50%
Long-term Interest Rate
9.00%
9.00%
9.00%
9.00%
9.00%
Tax Rate
25.42%
25.00%
25.42%
25.00%
25.42%
Other
0
0
0
0
0
7.2 Business Ratios
The following table contains important business ratios for the prepackaged software industry, as determined by the Standard Industry Classification (SIC) Index, 7372.
Ratio Analysis
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Industry Profile
Sales Growth
0.00%
16.89%
16.89%
16.89%
16.89%
9.70%
Percent of Total Assets
Accounts Receivable
20.92%
13.57%
10.29%
8.41%
7.20%
21.50%
Other Current Assets
6.40%
3.55%
2.30%
1.61%
1.18%
45.70%
Total Current Assets
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
70.20%
Long-term Assets
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
29.80%
Total Assets
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Current Liabilities
11.86%
7.86%
5.94%
4.80%
4.10%
42.40%
Long-term Liabilities
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
19.20%
Total Liabilities
11.86%
7.86%
5.94%
4.80%
4.10%
61.60%
Net Worth
88.14%
92.14%
94.06%
95.20%
95.90%
38.40%
Percent of Sales
Sales
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Gross Margin
66.33%
66.33%
66.22%
66.22%
66.22%
100.00%
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses
41.70%
40.22%
38.80%
37.49%
36.25%
79.40%
Advertising Expenses
0.48%
0.45%
0.42%
0.40%
0.37%
1.30%
Profit Before Interest and Taxes
32.85%
34.82%
36.56%
38.31%
39.95%
2.20%
Main Ratios
Current
8.43
12.72
16.83
20.81
24.40
1.51
Quick
8.43
12.72
16.83
20.81
24.40
1.16
Total Debt to Total Assets
11.86%
7.86%
5.94%
4.80%
4.10%
61.60%
Pre-tax Return on Net Worth
95.13%
62.57%
48.83%
41.29%
36.59%
3.50%
Pre-tax Return on Assets
83.85%
57.65%
45.93%
39.30%
35.09%
9.20%
Additional Ratios
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Net Profit Margin
24.48%
26.11%
27.27%
28.73%
29.80%
n.a
Return on Equity
70.90%
46.92%
36.42%
30.96%
27.29%
n.a
Activity Ratios
Accounts Receivable Turnover
6.10
6.10
6.10
6.10
6.10
n.a
Collection Days
57
55
55
55
55
n.a
Accounts Payable Turnover
12.57
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
n.a
Payment Days
27
28
28
28
28
n.a
Total Asset Turnover
2.55
1.66
1.26
1.03
0.88
n.a
Debt Ratios
Debt to Net Worth
0.13
0.09
0.06
0.05
0.04
n.a
Current Liab. to Liab.
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
n.a
Liquidity Ratios
Net Working Capital
$435,030
$819,646
$1,289,086
$1,867,265
$2,568,205
n.a
Interest Coverage
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
n.a
Additional Ratios
Assets to Sales
0.39
0.60
0.80
0.97
1.14
n.a
Current Debt/Total Assets
12%
8%
6%
5%
4%
n.a
Acid Test
6.67
11.00
15.10
19.06
22.65
n.a
Sales/Net Worth
2.90
1.80
1.34
1.08
0.92
n.a
Dividend Payout
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
n.a
7.3 Break-even Analysis
The following table and chart summarize the Break-even Analysis, including the assumed monthly running costs and sales break-even points.
Break-even Analysis
Monthly Revenue Break-even
$53,010
Assumptions:
Average Percent Variable Cost
34%
Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost
$35,163
7.4 Projected Profit and Loss
The most important and strategic component in the Projected Profit and Loss statement is the net profit, which is planned and targeted to increase. Month-by-month assumptions for profit and loss are included in the appendix.
Pro Forma Profit and Loss
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Sales
$1,260,000
$1,472,814
$1,721,572
$2,012,346
$2,352,231
Direct Cost of Sales
$424,192
$495,837
$581,584
$679,812
$794,632
Other
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Total Cost of Sales
$424,192
$495,837
$581,584
$679,812
$794,632
Gross Margin
$835,808
$976,977
$1,139,988
$1,332,534
$1,557,599
Gross Margin %
66.33%
66.33%
66.22%
66.22%
66.22%
Expenses
Payroll
$216,000
$237,600
$261,360
$287,496
$316,246
Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses
$122,200
$134,420
$147,862
$162,648
$178,913
Depreciation
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Leased Equipment
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Utilities
$7,200
$7,920
$8,712
$9,583
$10,541
Insurance
$2,160
$2,376
$2,614
$2,875
$3,163
Rent
$42,000
$46,200
$50,820
$55,902
$61,492
Payroll Taxes
$32,400
$35,640
$39,204
$43,124
$47,437
Other
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Total Operating Expenses
$421,960
$464,156
$510,572
$561,629
$617,791
Profit Before Interest and Taxes
$413,848
$512,821
$629,417
$770,905
$939,807
EBITDA
$413,848
$512,821
$629,417
$770,905
$939,807
Interest Expense
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Taxes Incurred
$105,406
$128,205
$159,977
$192,726
$238,868
Net Profit
$308,443
$384,616
$469,440
$578,179
$700,940
Net Profit/Sales
24.48%
26.11%
27.27%
28.73%
29.80%
7.5 Projected Cash Flow
Cash flow projections are critical to RTI's success. The monthly cash flow is shown in the illustration, with one bar representing the cash flow per month and the other representing the monthly balance. The annual cash flow figures are included here in the following table. Detailed monthly numbers are included in the appendix.
Pro Forma Cash Flow
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Cash Received
Cash from Operations
Cash Sales
$630,000
$736,407
$860,786
$1,006,173
$1,176,116
Cash from Receivables
$526,750
$718,968
$840,402
$982,346
$1,148,264
Subtotal Cash from Operations
$1,156,750
$1,455,375
$1,701,188
$1,988,519
$2,324,379
Additional Cash Received
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
New Current Borrowing
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
New Other Liabilities (interest-free)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
New Long-term Liabilities
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Sales of Other Current Assets
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Sales of Long-term Assets
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
New Investment Received
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Subtotal Cash Received
$1,156,750
$1,455,375
$1,701,188
$1,988,519
$2,324,379
Expenditures
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Expenditures from Operations
Cash Spending
$216,000
$237,600
$261,360
$287,496
$316,246
Bill Payments
$682,028
$839,215
$979,251
$1,133,858
$1,319,563
Subtotal Spent on Operations
$898,028
$1,076,815
$1,240,611
$1,421,354
$1,635,809
Additional Cash Spent
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Other Liabilities Principal Repayment
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Purchase Other Current Assets
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Purchase Long-term Assets
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Dividends
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Subtotal Cash Spent
$898,028
$1,076,815
$1,240,611
$1,421,354
$1,635,809
Net Cash Flow
$258,722
$378,560
$460,577
$567,165
$688,571
Cash Balance
$358,722
$737,282
$1,197,859
$1,765,024
$2,453,595
7.6 Projected Balance Sheet
The following Balance Sheet shows healthy growth of Net Worth and a strong financial position. The monthly estimates are included in the appendix.
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