- A 10-year SBA loan will be secured to cover start-up expenses and the first 2-3 months of salary, rent, taxes, insurance and credit card fees.
- A line-of-credit up to $25,000 will be used to cover any monthly cash-flow shortage and greater than anticipated inventory requirements.
- Sales growth is expected to be aggressive with projections of sales increases of 15% in year two and 17% in year three.
- Profits will be reinvested to reduce debt, expand product lines and increase personnel, as needed.
- clair de lune is a retail store, and will not be selling on credit. clair de lune will accept cash, checks and all major credit cards.
- Marketing and advertising will be no greater than 6% of sales.
7.1 Important Assumptions
| General Assumptions |
| Plan Month |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| Current Interest Rate |
9.00% |
9.00% |
9.00% |
9.00% |
9.00% |
| Long-term Interest Rate |
9.00% |
9.00% |
9.00% |
9.00% |
9.00% |
| Tax Rate |
30.00% |
30.00% |
30.00% |
30.00% |
30.00% |
| Other |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7.2 Break-even Analysis
| Break-even Analysis |
|
|
| Monthly Revenue Break-even |
$34,528 |
|
|
| Average Percent Variable Cost |
50% |
| Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost |
$17,264 |
7.3 Projected Profit and Loss

| Pro Forma Profit and Loss |
| Direct Cost of Sales |
$219,779 |
$252,746 |
$295,735 |
$308,774 |
$345,827 |
| Other Costs of Goods |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Total Cost of Sales |
$219,779 |
$252,746 |
$295,735 |
$308,774 |
$345,827 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gross Margin |
$219,779 |
$252,746 |
$295,735 |
$308,774 |
$345,827 |
| Gross Margin % |
50.00% |
50.00% |
50.00% |
50.00% |
50.00% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Payroll |
$100,645 |
$117,896 |
$127,041 |
$133,393 |
$140,063 |
| Marketing and Advertising |
$26,495 |
$30,000 |
$34,000 |
$36,000 |
$38,000 |
| Depreciation |
$3,000 |
$3,000 |
$3,000 |
$3,000 |
$3,000 |
| Start-up inventory amortization |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Rent |
$36,000 |
$36,000 |
$36,000 |
$36,000 |
$36,000 |
| Packaging |
$2,400 |
$2,400 |
$2,400 |
$2,400 |
$2,400 |
| Cell Phone |
$600 |
$600 |
$600 |
$600 |
$600 |
| Travel |
$4,800 |
$2,400 |
$2,400 |
$2,400 |
$2,400 |
| Utilities |
$7,200 |
$7,416 |
$7,638 |
$7,868 |
$8,104 |
| Payroll Taxes |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Merchandiser |
$1,800 |
$1,800 |
$1,800 |
$1,800 |
$1,800 |
| Buying Consultant |
$9,600 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Web Design |
$1,420 |
$1,000 |
$1,000 |
$1,000 |
$1,000 |
| Insurance |
$2,496 |
$2,621 |
$2,752 |
$2,890 |
$3,034 |
| Credit Card Fees |
$10,110 |
$11,626 |
$13,604 |
$14,204 |
$15,908 |
| Accountant |
$600 |
$600 |
$600 |
$600 |
$600 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
$12,613 |
$35,386 |
$62,900 |
$66,619 |
$92,918 |
| EBITDA |
$15,613 |
$38,386 |
$65,900 |
$69,619 |
$95,918 |
| Interest Expense |
$13,024 |
$12,134 |
$11,126 |
$10,009 |
$8,787 |
| Taxes Incurred |
$0 |
$6,976 |
$15,532 |
$16,983 |
$25,239 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Profit/Sales |
-0.09% |
3.22% |
6.13% |
6.42% |
8.51% |
7.4 Projected Cash Flow

| Pro Forma Cash Flow |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cash from Operations |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cash Sales |
$439,558 |
$505,492 |
$591,469 |
$617,547 |
$691,653 |
| Subtotal Cash from Operations |
$439,558 |
$505,492 |
$591,469 |
$617,547 |
$691,653 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Additional Cash Received |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| New Current Borrowing |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| New Other Liabilities (interest-free) |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| New Long-term Liabilities |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Sales of Other Current Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Sales of Long-term Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| New Investment Received |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Subtotal Cash Received |
$439,558 |
$505,492 |
$591,469 |
$617,547 |
$691,653 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Expenditures from Operations |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cash Spending |
$100,645 |
$117,896 |
$127,041 |
$133,393 |
$140,063 |
| Bill Payments |
$225,880 |
$372,142 |
$424,501 |
$441,651 |
$489,058 |
| Subtotal Spent on Operations |
$326,525 |
$490,038 |
$551,542 |
$575,044 |
$629,121 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Additional Cash Spent |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Other Liabilities Principal Repayment |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment |
$9,908 |
$10,540 |
$11,855 |
$12,968 |
$14,185 |
| Purchase Other Current Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Purchase Long-term Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Dividends |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Subtotal Cash Spent |
$336,433 |
$500,578 |
$563,397 |
$588,012 |
$643,306 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cash Balance |
$121,325 |
$126,239 |
$154,311 |
$183,846 |
$232,194 |
7.5 Projected Balance Sheet

| Pro Forma Balance Sheet |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cash |
$121,325 |
$126,239 |
$154,311 |
$183,846 |
$232,194 |
| Inventory |
$20,790 |
$23,908 |
$27,975 |
$29,208 |
$32,713 |
| Other Current Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Total Current Assets |
$142,115 |
$150,147 |
$182,286 |
$213,055 |
$264,907 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Long-term Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
| Long-term Assets |
$15,000 |
$15,000 |
$15,000 |
$15,000 |
$15,000 |
| Accumulated Depreciation |
$3,000 |
$6,000 |
$9,000 |
$12,000 |
$15,000 |
| Total Long-term Assets |
$12,000 |
$9,000 |
$6,000 |
$3,000 |
$0 |
| Total Assets |
$154,115 |
$159,147 |
$188,286 |
$216,055 |
$264,907 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
| Accounts Payable |
$31,234 |
$30,529 |
$35,281 |
$36,391 |
$40,537 |
| Current Borrowing |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Other Current Liabilities |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Subtotal Current Liabilities |
$31,234 |
$30,529 |
$35,281 |
$36,391 |
$40,537 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Long-term Liabilities |
$140,092 |
$129,552 |
$117,697 |
$104,729 |
$90,544 |
| Total Liabilities |
$171,326 |
$160,081 |
$152,978 |
$141,120 |
$131,081 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Paid-in Capital |
$21,750 |
$21,750 |
$21,750 |
$21,750 |
$21,750 |
| Retained Earnings |
($38,550) |
($38,960) |
($22,684) |
$13,558 |
$53,185 |
| Earnings |
($410) |
$16,277 |
$36,241 |
$39,627 |
$58,891 |
| Total Capital |
($17,210) |
($934) |
$35,308 |
$74,935 |
$133,826 |
| Total Liabilities and Capital |
$154,115 |
$159,147 |
$188,286 |
$216,055 |
$264,907 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Worth |
($17,210) |
($934) |
$35,308 |
$74,935 |
$133,826 |
7.6 Business Ratios
The following table outlines some of the more important ratios from the Women's Accessory and Specialty Store industry. The final column, Industry Profile, details specific ratios based on the industry as it is classified by the Standard Industry Classification (SIC) code, 5632.

| Ratio Analysis |
| Sales Growth |
0.00% |
15.00% |
17.01% |
4.41% |
12.00% |
2.95% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Inventory |
13.49% |
15.02% |
14.86% |
13.52% |
12.35% |
63.14% |
| Other Current Assets |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
16.69% |
| Total Current Assets |
92.21% |
94.34% |
96.81% |
98.61% |
100.00% |
86.54% |
| Long-term Assets |
7.79% |
5.66% |
3.19% |
1.39% |
0.00% |
13.46% |
| Total Assets |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Liabilities |
20.27% |
19.18% |
18.74% |
16.84% |
15.30% |
28.54% |
| Long-term Liabilities |
90.90% |
81.40% |
62.51% |
48.47% |
34.18% |
10.62% |
| Total Liabilities |
111.17% |
100.59% |
81.25% |
65.32% |
49.48% |
39.16% |
| Net Worth |
-11.17% |
-0.59% |
18.75% |
34.68% |
50.52% |
60.84% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sales |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
| Gross Margin |
50.00% |
50.00% |
50.00% |
50.00% |
50.00% |
44.19% |
| Selling, General & Administrative Expenses |
53.53% |
49.23% |
46.13% |
45.85% |
43.61% |
21.68% |
| Advertising Expenses |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
2.27% |
| Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
2.87% |
7.00% |
10.63% |
10.79% |
13.43% |
3.56% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current |
4.55 |
4.92 |
5.17 |
5.85 |
6.53 |
2.90 |
| Quick |
3.88 |
4.14 |
4.37 |
5.05 |
5.73 |
0.53 |
| Total Debt to Total Assets |
111.17% |
100.59% |
81.25% |
65.32% |
49.48% |
50.96% |
| Pre-tax Return on Net Worth |
2.38% |
-2489.95% |
146.64% |
75.55% |
62.87% |
9.06% |
| Pre-tax Return on Assets |
-0.27% |
14.61% |
27.50% |
26.20% |
31.76% |
18.48% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Profit Margin |
-0.09% |
3.22% |
6.13% |
6.42% |
8.51% |
n.a |
| Return on Equity |
0.00% |
0.00% |
102.64% |
52.88% |
44.01% |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Inventory Turnover |
6.73 |
11.31 |
11.40 |
10.80 |
11.17 |
n.a |
| Accounts Payable Turnover |
8.23 |
12.17 |
12.17 |
12.17 |
12.17 |
n.a |
| Payment Days |
27 |
30 |
28 |
30 |
28 |
n.a |
| Total Asset Turnover |
2.85 |
3.18 |
3.14 |
2.86 |
2.61 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt to Net Worth |
0.00 |
0.00 |
4.33 |
1.88 |
0.98 |
n.a |
| Current Liab. to Liab. |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.23 |
0.26 |
0.31 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Working Capital |
$110,882 |
$119,618 |
$147,005 |
$176,664 |
$224,370 |
n.a |
| Interest Coverage |
0.97 |
2.92 |
5.65 |
6.66 |
10.57 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Assets to Sales |
0.35 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.35 |
0.38 |
n.a |
| Current Debt/Total Assets |
20% |
19% |
19% |
17% |
15% |
n.a |
| Acid Test |
3.88 |
4.14 |
4.37 |
5.05 |
5.73 |
n.a |
| Sales/Net Worth |
0.00 |
0.00 |
16.75 |
8.24 |
5.17 |
n.a |
| Dividend Payout |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
n.a |