Our financial plan anticipates one year of negative profits as we gain sales volume. We have enough investment to cover these losses, and have an additional credit line available if sales do not match predictions.
7.1 Important Assumptions
We are assuming approximately 50% sales on credit and average interest rates of 10%. These are considered to be conservative in case our predictions are erroneous.
Since Visigoth is an import/export broker, the firm has no variable costs associated with it.
| General Assumptions |
| Plan Month |
1 |
2 |
3 |
| Current Interest Rate |
10.00% |
10.00% |
10.00% |
| Long-term Interest Rate |
10.00% |
10.00% |
10.00% |
| Tax Rate |
30.00% |
30.00% |
30.00% |
| Other |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7.2 Break-even Analysis
Our break-even analysis is based on the assumptions that our gross margin is 100%. In other words, we will have insignificant direct cost of sales. Since each market segment is so completely different, it is difficult to assign an average per unit revenue figure. However, it is believed that during the first three years, average revenue per unit per month will be about $4.00, due to the fact that, initially, we may be working with smaller companies projects. We expect that about 3,500 units per month will guarantee break even.
| Break-even Analysis |
|
|
| Monthly Revenue Break-even |
$14,067 |
|
|
| Average Percent Variable Cost |
0% |
| Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost |
$14,067 |
7.3 Projected Profit and Loss
The following table itemizes our revenues and associated costs. We expect to be paying higher costs in marketing and advertising than other companies as we attempt to build sales volume. We expect monthly profits to begin in April 2004 and yearly profits to occur in 2005.
| Pro Forma Profit and Loss |
| Direct Cost of Sales |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Other Costs of Sales |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Total Cost of Sales |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
|
|
|
|
| Gross Margin |
$160,000 |
$201,000 |
$266,000 |
| Gross Margin % |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Payroll |
$96,000 |
$108,000 |
$126,000 |
| Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses |
$8,400 |
$8,000 |
$8,000 |
| Depreciation |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Rent |
$12,000 |
$12,000 |
$13,000 |
| Utilities |
$3,600 |
$3,600 |
$4,000 |
| Insurance |
$3,000 |
$3,000 |
$3,000 |
| Payroll Taxes |
$14,400 |
$16,200 |
$18,900 |
| Travel |
$24,200 |
$12,000 |
$10,000 |
| Other |
$7,200 |
$8,000 |
$10,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
($8,800) |
$30,200 |
$73,100 |
| EBITDA |
($8,800) |
$30,200 |
$73,100 |
| Interest Expense |
$2,035 |
$1,820 |
$1,600 |
| Taxes Incurred |
$0 |
$8,514 |
$21,450 |
|
|
|
|
| Net Profit/Sales |
-6.77% |
9.88% |
18.82% |
7.4 Projected Cash Flow
The following is our cash flow table and chart. We do not expect to have any short-term cash flow problems even though we will be operating at a loss for the first year. Our short-term loan will be repaid in three equal payments in 2004-2006. Our long-term loan will be paid off in ten years.

| Pro Forma Cash Flow |
|
|
|
|
| Cash from Operations |
|
|
|
| Cash Sales |
$80,000 |
$100,500 |
$133,000 |
| Cash from Receivables |
$62,767 |
$96,084 |
$125,999 |
| Subtotal Cash from Operations |
$142,767 |
$196,584 |
$258,999 |
|
|
|
|
| Additional Cash Received |
|
|
|
| Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| New Current Borrowing |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| New Other Liabilities (interest-free) |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| New Long-term Liabilities |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Sales of Other Current Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Sales of Long-term Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| New Investment Received |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Subtotal Cash Received |
$142,767 |
$196,584 |
$258,999 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Expenditures from Operations |
|
|
|
| Cash Spending |
$96,000 |
$108,000 |
$126,000 |
| Bill Payments |
$70,247 |
$73,711 |
$88,568 |
| Subtotal Spent on Operations |
$166,247 |
$181,711 |
$214,568 |
|
|
|
|
| Additional Cash Spent |
|
|
|
| Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing |
$0 |
$2,000 |
$0 |
| Other Liabilities Principal Repayment |
$0 |
$1,000 |
$1,000 |
| Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment |
$1,200 |
$1,200 |
$1,200 |
| Purchase Other Current Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Purchase Long-term Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Dividends |
$4,000 |
$10,000 |
$42,000 |
| Subtotal Cash Spent |
$171,447 |
$195,911 |
$258,768 |
|
|
|
|
| Cash Balance |
$9,869 |
$10,543 |
$10,774 |
7.5 Projected Balance Sheet
The following table is the Project Balance Sheet for Visigoth Imports.
| Pro Forma Balance Sheet |
|
|
|
|
| Current Assets |
|
|
|
| Cash |
$9,869 |
$10,543 |
$10,774 |
| Accounts Receivable |
$17,233 |
$21,649 |
$28,650 |
| Other Current Assets |
$15,000 |
$15,000 |
$15,000 |
| Total Current Assets |
$42,103 |
$47,192 |
$54,424 |
|
|
|
|
| Long-term Assets |
|
|
|
| Long-term Assets |
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
| Accumulated Depreciation |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
| Total Long-term Assets |
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
| Total Assets |
$52,103 |
$57,192 |
$64,424 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Liabilities |
|
|
|
| Accounts Payable |
$6,588 |
$6,011 |
$7,393 |
| Current Borrowing |
$9,000 |
$7,000 |
$7,000 |
| Other Current Liabilities |
$8,000 |
$7,000 |
$6,000 |
| Subtotal Current Liabilities |
$23,588 |
$20,011 |
$20,393 |
|
|
|
|
| Long-term Liabilities |
$10,800 |
$9,600 |
$8,400 |
| Total Liabilities |
$34,388 |
$29,611 |
$28,793 |
|
|
|
|
| Paid-in Capital |
$53,750 |
$53,750 |
$53,750 |
| Retained Earnings |
($25,200) |
($46,035) |
($68,169) |
| Earnings |
($10,835) |
$19,866 |
$50,050 |
| Total Capital |
$17,715 |
$27,581 |
$35,631 |
| Total Liabilities and Capital |
$52,103 |
$57,192 |
$64,424 |
|
|
|
|
| Net Worth |
$17,715 |
$27,581 |
$35,631 |
7.6 Business Ratios
We have included industry standard ratios from the trade consultant industry for comparison. Our NAICS industry class is currently Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods Merchant Wholesale - 424990. Our projections indicate a healthy company that will be able to obtain and retain long-term profitability.

| Ratio Analysis |
| Sales Growth |
0.00% |
25.63% |
32.34% |
6.98% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Accounts Receivable |
33.08% |
37.85% |
44.47% |
26.80% |
| Other Current Assets |
28.79% |
26.23% |
23.28% |
43.95% |
| Total Current Assets |
80.81% |
82.52% |
84.48% |
75.76% |
| Long-term Assets |
19.19% |
17.48% |
15.52% |
24.24% |
| Total Assets |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Liabilities |
45.27% |
34.99% |
31.65% |
31.78% |
| Long-term Liabilities |
20.73% |
16.79% |
13.04% |
17.26% |
| Total Liabilities |
66.00% |
51.77% |
44.69% |
49.04% |
| Net Worth |
34.00% |
48.23% |
55.31% |
50.96% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sales |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
| Gross Margin |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
| Selling, General & Administrative Expenses |
106.77% |
90.12% |
81.18% |
85.31% |
| Advertising Expenses |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
1.02% |
| Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
-5.50% |
15.02% |
27.48% |
1.90% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Current |
1.78 |
2.36 |
2.67 |
1.88 |
| Quick |
1.78 |
2.36 |
2.67 |
1.48 |
| Total Debt to Total Assets |
66.00% |
51.77% |
44.69% |
3.41% |
| Pre-tax Return on Net Worth |
-61.16% |
102.90% |
200.67% |
55.78% |
| Pre-tax Return on Assets |
-20.80% |
49.62% |
110.98% |
7.72% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Profit Margin |
-6.77% |
9.88% |
18.82% |
n.a |
| Return on Equity |
-61.16% |
72.03% |
140.47% |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Accounts Receivable Turnover |
4.64 |
4.64 |
4.64 |
n.a |
| Collection Days |
56 |
71 |
69 |
n.a |
| Accounts Payable Turnover |
11.36 |
12.17 |
12.17 |
n.a |
| Payment Days |
28 |
31 |
27 |
n.a |
| Total Asset Turnover |
3.07 |
3.51 |
4.13 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt to Net Worth |
1.94 |
1.07 |
0.81 |
n.a |
| Current Liab. to Liab. |
0.69 |
0.68 |
0.71 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Working Capital |
$18,515 |
$27,181 |
$34,031 |
n.a |
| Interest Coverage |
-4.32 |
16.59 |
45.69 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Assets to Sales |
0.33 |
0.28 |
0.24 |
n.a |
| Current Debt/Total Assets |
45% |
35% |
32% |
n.a |
| Acid Test |
1.05 |
1.28 |
1.26 |
n.a |
| Sales/Net Worth |
9.03 |
7.29 |
7.47 |
n.a |
| Dividend Payout |
0.00 |
0.50 |
0.84 |
n.a |