The following sections will outline the important financial assumptions, key financial indicators, break-even analysis, profit and loss, cash flow, balance sheet, and key ratios.
7.1 Important Assumptions
The following table highlights some of the more important financial assumptions for The Coffee Break.
General Assumptions
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Plan Month
1
2
3
Current Interest Rate
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
Long-term Interest Rate
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
Tax Rate
25.42%
25.00%
25.42%
Other
0
0
0
7.2 Break-even Analysis
The Break-even Analysis can be seen in the chart and table below.
Break-even Analysis
Monthly Revenue Break-even
$12,904
Assumptions:
Average Percent Variable Cost
45%
Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost
$7,044
7.3 Projected Profit and Loss
The Coffee Break's profit and loss statement can be found in the table below.
Pro Forma Profit and Loss
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Sales
$218,000
$250,000
$269,000
Direct Cost of Sales
$99,000
$105,000
$110,000
Other
$0
$0
$0
Total Cost of Sales
$99,000
$105,000
$110,000
Gross Margin
$119,000
$145,000
$159,000
Gross Margin %
54.59%
58.00%
59.11%
Expenses
Payroll
$49,440
$53,629
$56,220
Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses
$4,572
$5,550
$6,800
Depreciation
$0
$0
$0
Insurance
$5,100
$5,200
$5,400
Rent
$18,000
$19,800
$21,780
Utilities
$0
$0
$0
Leased Equipment
$0
$0
$0
Payroll Taxes
$7,416
$8,044
$8,433
Other
$0
$0
$0
Total Operating Expenses
$84,528
$92,223
$98,633
Profit Before Interest and Taxes
$34,472
$52,777
$60,367
EBITDA
$34,472
$52,777
$60,367
Interest Expense
$4,323
$3,125
$1,875
Taxes Incurred
$7,406
$12,413
$14,867
Net Profit
$22,743
$37,239
$43,626
Net Profit/Sales
10.43%
14.90%
16.22%
7.4 Projected Cash Flow
The following chart and table present the cash flow assumptions for The Coffee Break.
Pro Forma Cash Flow
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Cash Received
Cash from Operations
Cash Sales
$218,000
$250,000
$269,000
Subtotal Cash from Operations
$218,000
$250,000
$269,000
Additional Cash Received
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received
$0
$0
$0
New Current Borrowing
$0
$0
$0
New Other Liabilities (interest-free)
$0
$0
$0
New Long-term Liabilities
$0
$0
$0
Sales of Other Current Assets
$0
$0
$0
Sales of Long-term Assets
$0
$0
$0
New Investment Received
$0
$0
$0
Subtotal Cash Received
$218,000
$250,000
$269,000
Expenditures
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Expenditures from Operations
Cash Spending
$49,440
$53,629
$56,220
Bill Payments
$105,740
$160,580
$168,839
Subtotal Spent on Operations
$155,180
$214,209
$225,059
Additional Cash Spent
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out
$0
$0
$0
Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing
$12,500
$12,500
$12,500
Other Liabilities Principal Repayment
$0
$0
$0
Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment
$0
$0
$0
Purchase Other Current Assets
$0
$0
$0
Purchase Long-term Assets
$0
$0
$0
Dividends
$0
$0
$0
Subtotal Cash Spent
$167,680
$226,709
$237,559
Net Cash Flow
$50,320
$23,291
$31,441
Cash Balance
$52,820
$76,111
$107,552
7.5 Business Ratios
The following table contains important ratios for the convenience stores industry, as determined by the Standard Industry Classification (SIC) Index code, 5411, Grocery Store (convenience).
Ratio Analysis
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Industry Profile
Sales Growth
0.00%
14.68%
7.60%
5.50%
Percent of Total Assets
Inventory
15.78%
12.12%
9.28%
24.20%
Other Current Assets
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
29.80%
Total Current Assets
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
59.40%
Long-term Assets
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
40.60%
Total Assets
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Current Liabilities
82.07%
44.02%
22.31%
33.90%
Long-term Liabilities
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
23.20%
Total Liabilities
82.07%
44.02%
22.31%
57.10%
Net Worth
17.93%
55.98%
77.69%
42.90%
Percent of Sales
Sales
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Gross Margin
54.59%
58.00%
59.11%
21.90%
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses
45.39%
44.54%
44.56%
14.70%
Advertising Expenses
1.98%
2.10%
2.40%
0.90%
Profit Before Interest and Taxes
15.81%
21.11%
22.44%
0.70%
Main Ratios
Current
1.22
2.27
4.48
1.57
Quick
1.03
2.00
4.07
0.60
Total Debt to Total Assets
82.07%
44.02%
22.31%
57.10%
Pre-tax Return on Net Worth
268.15%
102.41%
63.50%
3.60%
Pre-tax Return on Assets
48.07%
57.33%
49.34%
8.50%
Additional Ratios
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Net Profit Margin
10.43%
14.90%
16.22%
n.a
Return on Equity
202.28%
76.81%
47.36%
n.a
Activity Ratios
Inventory Turnover
8.34
10.29
10.23
n.a
Accounts Payable Turnover
8.57
12.17
12.17
n.a
Payment Days
27
31
29
n.a
Total Asset Turnover
3.48
2.89
2.27
n.a
Debt Ratios
Debt to Net Worth
4.58
0.79
0.29
n.a
Current Liab. to Liab.
1.00
1.00
1.00
n.a
Liquidity Ratios
Net Working Capital
$11,243
$48,482
$92,108
n.a
Interest Coverage
7.97
16.89
32.20
n.a
Additional Ratios
Assets to Sales
0.29
0.35
0.44
n.a
Current Debt/Total Assets
82%
44%
22%
n.a
Acid Test
1.03
2.00
4.07
n.a
Sales/Net Worth
19.39
5.16
2.92
n.a
Dividend Payout
0.00
0.00
0.00
n.a
7.6 Projected Balance Sheet
The Balance Sheet below provides numbers that are important to the financial well-being of The Coffee Break.
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