QDAR expects to raise much of its own capital, and to borrow on a guaranteed ten year SBA loan. This provides the bulk of the current financing required.
7.1 Break-even Analysis
QDAR's break-even analysis is based on the averages of the first-year figures for total sales by units, and for operating expenses. These are presented as per-unit revenue, per-unit cost, and fixed costs. These conservative assumptions make for a more accurate estimate of real risk.
Break-even Analysis
Monthly Units Break-even
6,969
Monthly Revenue Break-even
$724,208
Assumptions:
Average Per-Unit Revenue
$103.92
Average Per-Unit Variable Cost
$42.81
Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost
$425,871
7.2 Projected Profit and Loss
As the profit and loss table shows, QDAR expects to continue its steady growth in profitability over the next three years of operations.
Pro Forma Profit and Loss
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Sales
$9,540,000
$11,269,125
$13,311,654
Direct Cost of Sales
$3,930,000
$4,642,313
$5,483,732
Other
$0
$0
$0
Total Cost of Sales
$3,930,000
$4,642,313
$5,483,732
Gross Margin
$5,610,000
$6,626,813
$7,827,922
Gross Margin %
58.81%
58.81%
58.81%
Expenses
Payroll
$4,315,000
$4,530,767
$4,757,322
Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses
$27,000
$35,830
$72,122
Depreciation
$120,000
$138,000
$158,700
Utilities
$1,200
$1,260
$1,323
Payroll Taxes
$647,250
$679,615
$713,598
Other
$0
$0
$0
Total Operating Expenses
$5,110,450
$5,385,472
$5,703,065
Profit Before Interest and Taxes
$499,550
$1,241,341
$2,124,858
EBITDA
$619,550
$1,379,341
$2,283,558
Interest Expense
$26,748
$22,467
$20,217
Taxes Incurred
$120,157
$304,719
$534,930
Net Profit
$352,645
$914,156
$1,569,711
Net Profit/Sales
3.70%
8.11%
11.79%
7.3 Projected Cash Flow
The cash flow projection shows that provisions for ongoing expenses are adequate to meet QDAR's needs as the business generates cash flow sufficient to support operations.
The short-term loan is expected to be paid out within one year, while an SBA loan will be repaid in ten years.
Pro Forma Cash Flow
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Cash Received
Cash from Operations
Cash Sales
$9,540,000
$11,269,125
$13,311,654
Subtotal Cash from Operations
$9,540,000
$11,269,125
$13,311,654
Additional Cash Received
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received
$0
$0
$0
New Current Borrowing
$0
$0
$0
New Other Liabilities (interest-free)
$0
$0
$0
New Long-term Liabilities
$0
$0
$0
Sales of Other Current Assets
$0
$0
$0
Sales of Long-term Assets
$0
$0
$0
New Investment Received
$0
$0
$0
Subtotal Cash Received
$9,540,000
$11,269,125
$13,311,654
Expenditures
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Expenditures from Operations
Cash Spending
$4,315,000
$4,530,767
$4,757,322
Bill Payments
$4,680,133
$5,661,245
$6,808,402
Subtotal Spent on Operations
$8,995,133
$10,192,012
$11,565,724
Additional Cash Spent
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out
$0
$0
$0
Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing
$55,000
$0
$0
Other Liabilities Principal Repayment
$0
$0
$0
Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment
$15,335
$20,000
$25,000
Purchase Other Current Assets
$0
$0
$0
Purchase Long-term Assets
$540,000
$660,000
$770,000
Dividends
$0
$0
$0
Subtotal Cash Spent
$9,605,468
$10,872,012
$12,360,724
Net Cash Flow
($65,468)
$397,113
$950,930
Cash Balance
$34,532
$431,646
$1,382,575
7.4 Projected Balance Sheet
QDAR's projected company balance sheet follows.
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Assets
Current Assets
Cash
$34,532
$431,646
$1,382,575
Inventory
$360,250
$425,545
$502,675
Other Current Assets
$50,000
$50,000
$50,000
Total Current Assets
$444,782
$907,191
$1,935,251
Long-term Assets
Long-term Assets
$890,000
$1,550,000
$2,320,000
Accumulated Depreciation
$120,000
$258,000
$416,700
Total Long-term Assets
$770,000
$1,292,000
$1,903,300
Total Assets
$1,214,782
$2,199,191
$3,838,551
Liabilities and Capital
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable
$382,473
$472,726
$567,374
Current Borrowing
$0
$0
$0
Other Current Liabilities
$0
$0
$0
Subtotal Current Liabilities
$382,473
$472,726
$567,374
Long-term Liabilities
$234,665
$214,665
$189,665
Total Liabilities
$617,138
$687,391
$757,039
Paid-in Capital
$250,000
$250,000
$250,000
Retained Earnings
($5,000)
$347,645
$1,261,800
Earnings
$352,645
$914,156
$1,569,711
Total Capital
$597,645
$1,511,800
$3,081,512
Total Liabilities and Capital
$1,214,782
$2,199,191
$3,838,551
Net Worth
$597,645
$1,511,800
$3,081,512
7.5 Business Ratios
The following table outlines some of the more important business ratios for the auto repair industry, as described by the Standard Industry Classifications (SIC) Index code 7538, General Automotive Repair Shops.
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